Key takeout:
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Santimento data shows a growing fear among XRP traders. This is a pattern that previously preceded a 125% rebound.
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The XRP triangle breakout targets $4.29, but whale accumulation and ETF optimism support the benefits.
XRP (XRP) has witnessed a sharp decline in bullish sentiment among retailers as fear and frustration returned to the level they were last seen during the sale led by President Donald Trump’s tariff announcement in April.
Will XRP prices crash?
According to Santiment of Onchain Analytics Platform, XRP’s bullish sentiment ratio has fallen below 1.0 over the past two days.
However, Santimento sees this so-called “retail FUD,” an indicator of bullishness, due to fear, uncertainty and doubt.
The core of their upside down prospects is XRP’s response to a decline in the April ratio. At the time, tokens were initially soaked over 25%, but later recovered over 125%, indicating that the broader market is “opposite the expectations of small traders.”
Simply put, when impatient XRP traders began selling near local lows, strong hands intervened to accumulate and absorb the weakening pressure. Tokens can experience a price increase in the event of a crash if the fractal is deployed as expected.
Top XRP address cohorts accumulate
On-chain metrics tracking retail and whale addresses also support bullish outlook.
For example, according to data resource GlassNode, XRP supply between entities holding more than 100 tokens has been growing continuously during price consolidation in recent months.
XRP traders remain resilient as the wider risk markets are weak in the US dollar and the US government is strengthened amid ongoing closures.
The rise in optimism over the recognition of the potential SEC of the XRP ETF also helps offset social media pessimism, indicating that on-chain and institutional sentiment remain firmly bullish.
XRP Symmetric Triangle Breakout Next Tips 45% Meetings
From a technical point of view, XRP appears to be in the breakout phase of a symmetrical triangular pattern.
Now the price has been pulled back slightly, retesting the upper limit of the triangle that just erupts. In technical analysis, this is called “retesting.” This is when the market checks whether previous resistance levels serve as support.
A successful rebound from this level could pave the way for a rally to $4.29, about 45% above the current price. The upside target is consistent with multiple XRP bull forecasts shared in the past.
Related: XRP Price: Why is October the most bullish month of 2025?
Conversely, a decisive break below the trendline will disable bullish setups and increase the chances of a pullback at a deeper XRP price towards the boundary near $2.33.
This article does not include investment advice or recommendations. All investment and trading movements include risk and readers must do their own research when making decisions.