Tariffs have raised about $120 billion so far, and the proposed payments would cost an estimated $300 billion, according to the Tax Foundation. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later walked back his comments, insisting that the “dividend” reflected future tax cuts, not new checks. Still, in the world of memes and political tokens, awareness drives prices faster than policy. Traders saw the news as new fuel for populism against President Trump. President Trump’s prices often reflect the former president’s media exposure and campaign rhetoric.
Official Trump chart analysis: Trump moves away from integration
On the TradingView daily chart, TRUMP price is once again showing clear signs of bullish strength. The Heikin Ashi candlestick revealed a decisive breakout above the $8 resistance zone, ending around $8.6 with a 2.11% daily gain. The move follows weeks of sideways consolidation between $6 and $8.
The Bollinger Bands (20, 2) indicate widening volatility, with price currently testing the upper band around $8.9. The middle band around $7.3 is acting as dynamic support, suggesting that buyers are regaining control. The next resistance levels are near $10, $12, and $14. These are all Fibonacci extension targets and could be affected if momentum holds.
Conversely, the lower bound around $5.7 remains an important support level. If the daily close is below this, the short-term uptrend will be invalidated.
Momentum and volume patterns
The rise in green candlesticks since late October indicates heavy buying in the market. The transition from low volatility to widening Bollinger width often precedes trend acceleration. OFFICIAL TRUMP’s price also regained its 20-day moving average, an important reversal signal, after months of decline from August to October.
Momentum traders are likely to be watching for confirmation of the breakout above $9 for continuation. If this move sustains above $8.5, the next leg could target the $10-$12 zone, but failure to sustain that range could trigger a retest of $7.2.
Political narrative meets speculative demand
The correlation between President Trump’s political statements and TRUMP token market activity remains strong. Major social posts and media appearances tend to trigger short bursts of speculative buying, followed by consolidation. The proposed $2,000 dividend, while economically dubious, taps into a populist discourse that galvanizes the project’s community.
As the 2025 political season heats up and debates over tariffs, tax cuts, and economic populism return to the spotlight, the TRUMP token sits at the intersection of politics and speculation and is likely to increase volatility.
Trump Price Prediction: Could Trump Price Break Above $10?
If the bullish momentum continues and Bitcoin maintains its broad uptrend, $TRUMP could challenge $10-12 within the next two weeks. While psychological resistance at $10 is likely to see some short-term profit taking, a close above that level could trigger a rapid move towards $14-$16 based on technical extensions.
However, traders should be careful. The rally is sentiment-driven and not supported by fundamentals. If President Trump retracts his claims or the media focus changes, $TRUMP could return to the $6-7 range. Given the recent decline in liquidity, the possibility of a short squeeze remains high.
conclusion
The latest breakout in TRUMP price reflects how political rather than economic narratives continue to drive the token. Regardless of whether Americans see a “tariff dividend” or not, the announcement has already paid dividends for traders who were expecting a spike in volatility.
If the market holds support above $8.3, the momentum could push the TRUMP token closer to double digits in the short term. However, given the sensitivity to headlines, traders should keep their stops tight. That’s because in the TRUMP market, policy promises can disappear faster than campaign tweets.