In November of this year, Starknet price predictions for 2025 suddenly strengthened after STRK surged more than 100% this week and 350% in the past 30 days. Starknet price continues to show short-term gains, but this new momentum came after the mainnet “Stwo” upgrade last week. The long-term outlook remains relevant to whether short-term strength can develop into a sustained recovery from a significant drawdown.
Mainnet upgrade triggers short-term recovery
After Starknet confirmed that the Stwo prover update was live on mainnet on November 5th, the STRK/USD rally gained momentum and quickly triggered this week’s surge. This momentum builds on a broad 30-day rally that took the token from $0.039 to $0.186, a 350% rally and one of STRK’s strongest short-term gains since recent months.
However, despite the recent frenzy, STRK price USD is still trading over 90% below its 2024 ATH of $2.78. Investors view this rally as encouraging but not yet transformative, especially considering the token has been one of the worst performers in its category over the long term.
Even after the “Stwo” update, it recorded a positive net flow of $175 million last week, leaving it in second place behind Arbitrum in net flow. Across the market, questions remain as to whether the STRK rally is the beginning of a structural recovery or another short-term reaction.
Fundamental advances strengthen long-term prospects
Although uncertainty remains, Starknet’s fundamentals are quietly strengthening. Starknet’s CT lead highlighted that Q3 2025 marks the debut of Bitcoin staking on Starknet, allowing BTC holders to earn STRK rewards through a dual-token model. Over 650 BTC (worth $72 million) has been staked so far, TVL has risen more than three times its previous level, and even stablecoins have grown significantly.
Additional upgrades will continue to support expansion of this ecosystem. The CT Reader article also notes the importance of updates like Grinta v0.14.0, which introduced 0.5 second prechecks and a distributed sequencer with over 2,600 TPS.
Similarly, ZK-STARK certification, EIP-1559 rate structures, and new STRK gas requirements will increase efficiency and demand.
Similarly, LayerZero’s integration bridges Starknet to more than 150 chains, increasing interoperability and traction with DeFi protocols such as Paradex, which managed $170 billion in monthly processing volume.
These advances, coupled with the strong short-term movement following the release of Stwo, position the STRK crypto for a more meaningful long-term turnaround.
Technical Outlook: What STRK must hold for recovery
Starknet’s price chart shows that despite the rally, key structural barriers still exist. For STRK/USD to move from survival mode to recovery mode, it needs to end the year above $0.63, a level that is almost 250% up from the current price of $0.186.
If successful, Starknet’s price prediction model suggests a short-term target of $0.63. On the other hand, a substantive reversal of this level would likely see it reach $1.36 before a rally in early 2026, and odds are it could reach $2.78, which would be a complete ATH retest if momentum and fundamentals align.
Conversely, if we fail to reach $0.63 by the end of the year or extend the bullish rally, all eyes will be on a recovery by the first half of 2026, thereby extending Starknet’s long consolidation phase.
As November progresses, Starknet’s 2025 price forecast outlook hinges on whether STRK can turn its latest catalyst into sustained confidence.
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