Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a key phase in the cycle, urging analysts to discuss whether it will last for many years Bull Run is finally approaching its peak. As volatility tightening and historical cycle data show potential for an explosive breakout, market experts are closely watching the signal to uncover for the coming weeks Market current location And the future direction.
Bitcoin Bull Run Cycle approaches endgame
Market analyst Cryptobird warns that Bitcoin Bull Run may end Within 30 days. X On the social media thread, he It’s attracting attention This current cycle has reached 1,038 days since the bottom of November 2022, equivalent to 97.5% of the standard cycle. Historically, the last 2.5% of Bitcoin’s Bull Run Most dramatic price surgesoften catches both retail and institutional investors off guard.
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investigate Cycle bottom– Top chart, BTC’s current market structure is closely matched with that of past cycles that experienced the greatest acceleration just before the cycle was completed. Black line representing the current trajectory of 2022-2025 Bitcoin integration Before the peak of the 2016 or 2020 cycle, after strong profits.
From a technical standpoint, experts point out that BTC is trading in an unusually tight 5% range between $110,500 and $116,000. Heavy compression. However, cryptocurrency has recently collapsed again, and is now just above $109,600.
Cryptobird highlights a key level: 200-week SMA is SPX correlation (-0.19) as a breed market floor with a 200-week SMA serving as long-term macro support, and 50-week SMA is SPX correlation (-0.19). Analysts explained that the short-term structure remains mixed High Time Frame (HTF) Support It’s still there at $111,296. However, compression created conditions that allow breakouts to set the remaining tones of the year.
Additionally, the current trend framework (CTF) is $114,916, and signaling The Bearish Era. Currently, the price is drawn to a 200-day BPRO at $112,250, and if Bitcoin can hold it on top of it, the Bulls can maintain control.
Half Mathematics Signal Final BTC Fault
Continuing his analysis, Cryptobird Emphasised That bitcoin is currently 523 days Post-harvingPlace it firmly within the historic “peek window” 518-580 days after each harving event. All previous majors Cycle top It occurs in this exact range, suggesting that Bitcoin is in the statistical sweet spot for its final move.
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Adding to your setup is the current marketplace Volatility Squeeze. The average true range (ATR) has dropped to 2,250, lowering the lowest reading for 2025, with volatility over 50 days of 2,800. Analysts point out that such compression volatility rarely lasts and precedes a violent breakout, typically within two to four weeks.
Institutions also appear to be positioned accordingly. Bitcoin ETF flow showing distribution. Sentiment indicators add another layer as the indicator of fear and greed stands at 44, The heightened fear Not a sense of happiness. Meanwhile, the RSI is neutral at 46, suggesting that momentum has cooled but not collapsed.
in spite of The reputation of Bitcoin as the weakest month in SeptemberCryptobird notes that it scored 4.4% for the month, contrary to the historic 6.2% decline. This anomaly is combined with October, which is usually considered a green moon, and could set the stage for a bullish Q4.
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