Aster held $1.86: Return to $1.99 or move to $1.72? After a rapid rise to ~$2.43, a reversal was set, followed by a move below $2.1618 and $1.9943, followed by a swing axis test at $1.8589. Is the response from $1.86 enough to go back to over $1.99 or are you ready to deepen the correction to $1.72?
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Overall Aster price structure
At this point, we are observing seller control at a lower high and sequence with prices below $2.1618 and $1.9943. Meanwhile, buyers are concentrated in clusters ranging from $1.84 to $1.86. Overall, the structure remains at the bottom of the swing range until a return of over $1.99 occurs.
Astor Emma
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EMA-20 $2.0426. A clearly negative slope is observed, with the price below. This is locked into the advantages of the seller. If a series of closures are closed on top of it and a hold of retest is seen, it is the first sign of alleviating downward pressure, allowing for hallway testing between $2.03 and $2.04.
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EMA-50 $2.0326. The slope is also negative and operates almost parallel to the EMA-20. Together, they form tight $2.03-2.04 caps. Thus, sustained closures are closed above both EMAs, resulting in a strong signal of a short-term shift to recovery.
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EMA-100 $1.8402. The slope is almost flat and runs along the bottom edge of the cluster, between $1.84 and $1.86. Successive closures under this zone confirm current base rests, creating the possibility of deepening corrections by bringing out the previous trends significantly.
Astor Fibonacci Key Zone
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0.236 ($2.1618). The above returns and holds confirm the targets are between $2.20 and $2.24 and transition to the upper half of the swing, but another denial indicates that the seller’s control is persistent.
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0.382 ($1.9943). The horizontal resistance of the nearest key and the hold above it gives a potential recovery signal that can access between $2.03 and $2.04. However, if it is rejected repeatedly, the correction scenario continues.
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0.5 ($1.8589). The current swing balance axis and the triggers in the $1.84-$1.86 zones support the current base formation. A break using a retest from the bottom may move the price to the lower half of the swing, indicating deepening the correction.
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0.618 ($1.7235). Deep correction boundary. Keeping the following results in a risk of continuity of $1.5307 to 0.786, indicating a medium-term change.
Aster Market sentiment
I call this bearish emotion, but it’s not critical – it’s almost neutral. The price is below the EMA-20/EMA-50, under $1.99, and the down candle cascade has not yet been neutralized. However, the demand response at $1.86 confirms the presence of local support. As a result, the inverted signal remains ambiguous as there is no movement beyond $1.99 to more than $2.03 to $2.04.
hulf potential bullish scenario
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confirmation. Holds above $1.8589, forming HL within $1.84-$1.86. Then returns and retention exceeding $1.9943. Second, the 1-hour series exceeds $2.03-$2.04, with a successful retest from above.
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Next target. $2.1618;If momentum continues – a zone of $2.20 to $2.24.
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Disabled. A $1.8589 break and a sustained closing is below $1.84.
hearPotential bearish scenario
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confirmation. An hour below $1.8589, retested from below, refused. The series of closures then fall below ~$1.84.
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Next target. $1.7235;If pressure rises – $1.5307.
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Disabled. Fast returns over $1.8589 and return and hold over $1.9943.
coptiible potential entry
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Reactive long. In a cluster of $1.84-$1.86, surpassing the clear HL and one hour closed back. The position lies between $1.86 in support and $1.99 in resistance.
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Breakout long. Use a retest from above, go home and hold over $1.9943. Additional confirmation – Initially it exceeds $2.03-$2.04.
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The momentum is short. Open the move to $1.8589 – $1.7235 after retesting and rejection from below.
copiiion potential stop
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Because it’s reactive long. After 2 hours closed, under $1.8400 – local base break check.
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For a long breakout. If Retest breaks down or falls below the $2.03-$2.04 range with a clear denial, then under $1.9943.
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short. Over $1.8589 with a quick return to range. Conservative – Hold above level above $1.9943 on return.
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Aster: What I’ve seen in the next few hours
Aster’s actions are most watchful at $1.8589 and $1.8402. A base between $1.84 and $1.86 is retained in the HL formation. Also monitor potential returns, hold above $1.9943 and move above $2.03-$2.04 in hold. However, if $1.8589 is lost and there is a series of closings below $1.84, a shift to $1.7235 could be seen.